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MTA Rate Forecast
Moderators: Mortgage-X

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   Types of Loan Programs-> Pay Option ARM, Pick-a-Payment, Cash Flow LoanMessage format
Posted 5/3/2005 4:05 PM (#193)
Subject: MTA Rate Forecast
On the mortgage-x site, how is the "MTA Rate Forecast" calculated? Who calculated it? I understand past performance does not predict future performance. But how has this forecast performed historically, i.e. how accurate has it been in the past? Thanks.
Posted 8/2/2005 12:32 AM (#318 - in reply to #193)
Subject: RE: MTA Rate Forecast
The projected future MTA index values are calculated by Mortgage-X using the relationship between the MTA and the 1-Year Constant Maturity Treasury index (the MTA is the 12 month average of the 1-Year CMT).

Our calculations are based on the implied forward Treasury Bill rates derived from the term structures of U.S. Treasury notes and bonds, also known as the Treasury Yield Curve. Yields on Treasury securities at 'constant maturity' are interpolated by the U.S. Treasury from the daily yield curve. The daily yield curve is based on the closing market bid yields on actively traded Treasury securities in the over-the-counter market.

We first published the MTA Rate Forecast on April 25, 2005 and cannot tell you how accurate it has been in the past.

Posted 4/16/2009 7:57 PM (#1953 - in reply to #193)
Subject: RE: MTA Rate Forecast
Sir I have a 5/1 arm, basedon weekly yield 1 year treaury bill, that's do to reset in septmber, my rate now is 5.66, on a thirty year scale, what are the down falls with this rate. Can it explode, Citi mortgage has the loan, but it has a cape on it. How has the treasury bill been thus far, I heard it was low at this point. My problem is credit cards and Iam a little over extended. No late payments with mortgage. Thanks
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