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Mortgage (ARM) Index Variability
Measuring the variability of an index around a mean value over a given period of time.

To determine how volatile is an index over time on an absolute basis (regardless of the level of rates) we calculate it's Annualized Absolute Variability by adding the absolute deviations of the previous 12 monthly values of the index from their arithmetic mean together and dividing the result by 12.

The Annualized Absolute Variability only depends on the range of index values. If the range of index values is large, it's Annualized Absolute Variability will be high.

On a proportional basis, we compute the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the Annualized Absolute Variability to the 12-month average of the index: Variability Relative to the Level of Rates.

The Variability Relative to the Level of Rates also depends on the range of index values, however, it is influenced by the current rate of the index. The higher the index rate, the lower it's Variability Relative to the Level of Rates.

ARM Index Variability Table
Variability (A) - Annualized Absolute Variability
Variability (R) - Variability Relative to the Level of Rates

Index Current Value As Of 1-Year Average Variability (A) Variability (R)
1-Year Constant Maturity Treasury 0.29 Jul.2010 0.37 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.04 10.81%
3-Year Constant Maturity Treasury 0.98 Jul.2010 1.40 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.14 37.84%
5-Year Constant Maturity Treasury 1.76 Jul.2010 2.30 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.17 45.95%
3-Month Treasury Bill 0.16 Jul.2010 0.12 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.04 33.33%
6-Month Treasury Bill 0.21 Jul.2010 0.20 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.03 15.00%
3-Month Secondary Market CD 0.41 Jul.2010 0.29 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.09 31.03%
6-Month Secondary Market CD 0.62 Jul.2010 0.42 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.13 30.95%
11th District COFI 1.753 Jul.2010 1.691 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.20 11.83%
1-month LIBOR (monthly) 0.3361 Jul.2010 0.2669 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.04 14.99%
3-month LIBOR (monthly) 0.5140 Jul.2010 0.3418 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.09 26.33%
6-month LIBOR (monthly) 0.7224 Jul.2010 0.5734 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.13 22.67%
1-year LIBOR (monthly) 1.1240 Jul.2010 1.0864 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.14 12.89%
Certificate of Deposit Index (CODI) 0.2933 Jul.2010 0.5974 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.31 51.89%
12-Month Treasury Average (MTA) 0.3700 Jul.2010 0.4817 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.08 16.61%
Prime Rate: Monthly Value* 3.25 Jul.2010 3.25 {Aug.2009-Jul.2010} 0.00 0.00%
Prime Rate: Current Value 3.25
Prime Rate: Date of Change** 12/16/2008

* Average of business days.
** The prime rate changes irregularly.

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